GEOPOLITICS

Forecast The Suwalki Gap, which connects Eastern Europe to the Baltic states, is unlikely to become a heavily militarized area in the Russia-NATO standoff like the Fulda Gap was during ...

The leaders of Libya’s rival parliaments met and rejected a U.N. peace deal on Dec. 16, a day before moderates from both sides were expected to sign it, Reuters reported. ...

Summary Editor’s Note: This is the third installment of an occasional series on China’s transformation that Stratfor will be building upon periodically. China’s Communist Party is locked in a struggle ...

Turkey will establish a military base in Qatar as part of a 2015 mutual defense agreement aimed at combatting “common enemies,” Turkey’s envoy to the Gulf state said Dec. 16, ...

Summary Over the past few months, a wave of violence has enflamed tensions between Israelis and Palestinians once again. This time, though, it has taken on a new character, and ...

Analysis The months-long stalemate between Brazil’s ruling Workers’ Party and the opposition has finally been broken, and President Dilma Rousseff is one step closer to losing her post. On Dec. ...

Italy will send 450 troops to Iraq to defend the strategic Mosul Dam from Islamic State militants, according to an announcement by Italian Prime Minister Matteo Renzi, AFP reported Dec. ...

Forecast A Dec. 6 electoral defeat for the ruling United Socialist Party of Venezuela (PSUV) would widen internal party divisions in 2016. The party’s two main faction leaders will continue to ...

The U.S. Federal Reserve announced Dec. 16 that it will raise short-term interest rates to 0.25-0.5 percent from the current 0 to 0.25 percent, citing favorable economic conditions, according to ...

Analysis Over the past few days, two U.S.-backed rebel groups in Syria have been fighting pitched battles in northern Aleppo. But rather than battling the Islamic State or Syrian loyalists, ...