Month: November 2015

A lack of coordination among Germany’s officials is chipping away at the popular perception of the Berlin government as a well-oiled machine. In the latest example of internal discord, a government spokesperson said Thursday that Interior Minister Thomas de Maiziere ...

The fighting in eastern Ukraine may be on the verge of getting worse, perhaps even moving beyond skirmishes to actual limited offensives. Over the past week, we have seen an uptick in fighting along the demarcation line in eastern Ukraine, ...

The concept of the failed state is meaningless. It was invented as a rationale to impose US interests on less powerful nations. In the same week that the investigative reporter Jeremy Scahill spoke of the need for the US to ...

 Details are still emerging as to precisely who was responsible for the Nov. 13 Paris attacks. Sorting through the jumble of misinformation and disinformation will be challenging for French authorities, and for outside observers such as Stratfor. While the Islamic ...

Until Nov. 13, the eight attackers responsible for the night of violence in Paris were just a handful of radical Islamists in a large universe of Islamist radicals in France. Many of these radicals are nonviolent, while a small segment ...

What we know so far: The Islamic State has claimed responsibility for multiple attacks in Paris.  —President Francois Hollande called the attacks an “act of war” and said France’s response would be “merciless.” He declared a nationwide state of emergency ...

A leading British member of the Islamic State, known as Jihadi John, and three other foreign militants have been killed in U.S.-led airstrikes in Raqqa, Reuters reported Nov. 13, citing the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights. The Briton was featured ...

Forecast German conservatives’ criticism of what they perceive as Berlin’s soft approach to EU issues will not abate and will affect Germany’s foreign and domestic policies in 2016 and particularly after elections in 2017. Within two years, conservative and mildly ...

Summary Ukraine is likely to undergo a significant political shake-up after the ruling coalition’s main parties performed poorly in recent local elections. This overhaul likely will include a Cabinet reshuffle, the replacement of several key ministers, and a public campaign ...
Europe3

The main theme for Europe in the fourth quarter will be a recurring one: fragmentation. Indeed, the next three months will bring political and even territorial fragmentation to the Continent. The European Union will be dealing with three main issues, ...